Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.589920 2.715918 2.847707 2.996366 3.160052 3.335546 3.538957
2025-11-09 2.331230 2.498544 2.680971 2.896393 3.146188 3.429761 3.780582
2025-11-16 2.152268 2.345096 2.562169 2.828049 3.149910 3.533946 4.038418
2025-11-23 2.035337 2.248820 2.495824 2.808299 3.201765 3.694077 4.380947
2025-11-30 1.949291 2.179796 2.452956 2.808683 3.273251 3.881734 4.784168
2025-12-07 1.858677 2.097686 2.386220 2.770684 3.287905 3.991969 5.094121
2025-12-14 1.761350 2.000833 2.293786 2.690687 3.236513 4.001666 5.251928
2025-12-21 1.716792 1.966317 2.276727 2.706425 3.314765 4.202270 5.743349
2025-12-28 1.687674 1.948927 2.279484 2.747299 3.430167 4.470669 6.408186
2026-01-04 1.624256 1.884168 2.216120 2.691763 3.398292 4.502699 6.649568
2026-01-11 1.590798 1.856476 2.200076 2.700751 3.462605 4.697315 7.254888
2026-01-18 1.570768 1.845119 2.204839 2.738884 3.574050 4.986090 8.150850
2026-01-25 1.528310 1.805511 2.173381 2.728694 3.619027 5.185521 8.985437
2026-02-01 1.468250 1.740332 2.103968 2.658330 3.560564 5.187542 9.342783
2026-02-08 1.418493 1.687384 2.049515 2.607552 3.530941 5.242941 9.889496
2026-02-15 1.384125 1.654055 2.021170 2.594840 3.565044 5.432665 10.964161
2026-02-22 1.356874 1.629321 2.003729 2.597610 3.626202 5.691748 12.496233
2026-03-01 1.321520 1.591992 1.966288 2.566051 3.622045 5.807277 13.617996
2026-03-08 1.277740 1.541517 1.907716 2.497252 3.543199 5.738615 13.910640
2026-03-15 1.259776 1.526595 1.900613 2.511375 3.620827 6.056454 16.462386
2026-03-22 1.248712 1.520881 1.906661 2.547178 3.743775 6.520866 20.949816
2026-03-29 1.216325 1.483758 1.864135 2.498971 3.695569 6.523627 22.307537
2026-04-05 1.200035 1.469178 1.855047 2.506879 3.761550 6.859844 27.823898